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Science · Open for opinions

What will be the ranking of 2026 in the historical global temperature ranking by NASA/NOAA?

NASA tracks and publishes annual data on global temperature. 20 opinions, 25% 1st hottest (absolute record)

  • 1st hottest (absolute record) — 25%
  • 2nd hottest — 25%
  • 3rd hottest — 25%
  • Outside the top 3 — 25%

Deadline: February 28, 2027 at 12:00 AM UTC · 20 opinions

Resolution rules

NASA tracks and publishes annual data on global temperature. In recent years, historical records have frequently been broken, making the 2026 ranking a topic of great scientific interest.

Source: science.nasa.gov

Frequently asked questions about this event

How is this event resolved?

Resolvido com base no relatório anual de temperatura global da NASA GISS ou NOAA publicado até fevereiro de 2027, verificando a posição de 2026 no ranking histórico. Fonte: science.nasa.gov ou ncei.noaa.gov.

How are points scored?

Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.

Right now 1st hottest (absolute record) has 25% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 75 points, a wrong one costs about 25.

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