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Finance · Open for opinions

Will the federal government send any formal structural spending cut package to Congress by December 31, 2026?

The trajectory of public debt and compliance with the fiscal framework place the debate on spending cuts at the center of the… 78 opinions, 60% Yes

  • Yes — 60%
  • No — 40%

Deadline: December 31, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 78 opinions

Resolution rules

The trajectory of public debt and compliance with the fiscal framework place the debate on spending cuts at the center of the political and economic agenda for the second half of 2026.

Source: g1.globo.com

Frequently asked questions about this event

How is this event resolved?

Mercado resolve 'Sim' se o Poder Executivo encaminhar ao Congresso Nacional uma proposta formal (PEC, PL ou MP) contendo medidas de redução estrutural de despesas obrigatórias, com confirmação por nota oficial da Secretaria do Tesouro Nacional (tesouro.fazenda.gov.br) ou publicação no Diário Oficial da União até 31/12/2026. 'Não' se nenhuma proposta nesse sentido for enviada no período.

How are points scored?

Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.

Right now Yes has 60% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 40 points, a wrong one costs about 60.

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Will the federal government send any formal structural spending cut… — 60% Yes · VoxFi