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Technology · Open for opinions

Which prediction market platform will lead in monthly volume in October 2026?

Polymarket has retaken the lead with over US$1 billion in volume, while Kalshi came close with US$950 million after eight… 33 opinions, 48% Polymarket

  • Polymarket — 48%
  • Kalshi — 42%
  • Another platform — 9%

Deadline: October 31, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 33 opinions

Resolution rules

Polymarket has retaken the lead with over US$1 billion in volume, while Kalshi came close with US$950 million after eight consecutive weeks at the top. Both reached the App Store top 10 simultaneously, signaling accelerated growth.

Source: www.facebook.com

Frequently asked questions about this event

How is this event resolved?

Resolução com base em dados públicos de volume mensal divulgados pelas próprias plataformas ou por agregadores reconhecidos (ex.: Dune Analytics, The Block) referentes ao mês de outubro de 2026.

How are points scored?

Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.

Right now Polymarket has 48% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 52 points, a wrong one costs about 48.

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