Finance · Open for opinions
What will be the percentage of gross general government debt to GDP in September 2026?
The gross general government debt was 81.9% of GDP in June 2026 (R$ 10.8 trillion), according to the Central Bank. 20 opinions, 25% Below 81%
- Below 81% — 25%
- Between 81% and 82% — 25%
- Between 82% and 83% — 25%
- Above 83% — 25%
Deadline: November 30, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 20 opinions
Resolution rules
The gross general government debt was 81.9% of GDP in June 2026 (R$ 10.8 trillion), according to the Central Bank. Economists debate the fiscal trajectory for the second half of 2026 and the risk of deterioration of public accounts.
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Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolve conforme o valor divulgado pelo Banco Central do Brasil na nota de Política Fiscal referente ao mês de setembro de 2026, usualmente publicada em novembro de 2026. A alternativa correspondente ao intervalo que contiver o valor oficial divulgado será a vencedora.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Below 81% has 25% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 75 points, a wrong one costs about 25.