Politics · Open for opinions
Will the U.S. Congress pass specific federal legislation regulating political prediction markets by December 31, 2026?
Election authorities and lawmakers are increasingly concerned about the impact of political prediction markets on elections,… 20 opinions, 50% Yes
- Yes — 50%
- No — 50%
Deadline: December 31, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 20 opinions
Resolution rules
Election authorities and lawmakers are increasingly concerned about the impact of political prediction markets on elections, especially as the 2026 midterm elections approach, when trading volume on platforms like Kalshi reached record levels.
Source: www.facebook.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolve como 'Sim' se uma lei federal regulando explicitamente mercados de previsão política for sancionada pelo presidente dos EUA e registrada no Congress.gov até 31/12/2026. Caso contrário, resolve como 'Não'.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 50% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 50 points, a wrong one costs about 50.