Technology · Open for opinions
Will OpenAI publicly release a new generative AI model by December 31, 2026?
Researchers mention that OpenAI and Anthropic believe in existential risks of AI, evidencing an accelerated technological race and… 25 opinions, 84% Yes
- Yes — 84%
- No — 16%
Deadline: December 31, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 25 opinions
Resolution rules
Researchers mention that OpenAI and Anthropic believe in existential risks of AI, evidencing an accelerated technological race and frequent releases of new models by the leading companies in the sector.
Source: www.poder360.com.br
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolve 'Sim' se a OpenAI anunciar e disponibilizar publicamente um novo modelo de IA generativa (como GPT-5 ou versão superior) até 31/12/2026, conforme comunicado oficial no site openai.com. Resolve 'Não' caso nenhum novo modelo principal seja lançado até essa data.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 84% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 16 points, a wrong one costs about 84.