World · Open for opinions
Will the US PCE inflation index be below 2.5% (year-over-year) by the release for October 2026?
The PCE index, the Fed's main inflation measure, remained stable (no decline) in July 2026, staying elevated amid the Iran conflict… 20 opinions, 50% Yes
- Yes — 50%
- No — 50%
Deadline: November 28, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 20 opinions
Resolution rules
The PCE index, the Fed's main inflation measure, remained stable (no decline) in July 2026, staying elevated amid the Iran conflict and American trade wars, according to AP on 08/26/2026.
Source: apnews.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolve como 'Sim' se o Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) divulgar que o índice PCE (Personal Consumption Expenditures) registrou variação anual inferior a 2,5% no relatório referente ao mês de outubro de 2026 (divulgação prevista para novembro de 2026). Fonte oficial: bea.gov. Caso contrário, resolve como 'Não'.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 50% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 50 points, a wrong one costs about 50.