Sports · Open for opinions
Who will be the UFC lightweight champion at the end of 2026?
Polymarket lists Justin Gaethje as the big favorite to retain the belt at the end of 2026, with Arman Tsarukyan at 4%… 22 opinions, 32% Arman Tsarukyan
- Justin Gaethje — 23%
- Arman Tsarukyan — 32%
- Charles Oliveira — 23%
- Other fighter — 23%
Deadline: December 31, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 22 opinions
Resolution rules
Polymarket lists Justin Gaethje as the big favorite to retain the belt at the end of 2026, with Arman Tsarukyan at 4% and Charles Oliveira at 1% implied probability.
Source: www.oregonlive.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolve com base no lutador reconhecido oficialmente pelo UFC como campeão da categoria peso-leve (até 70 kg) em 31/12/2026, conforme site oficial do UFC (ufc.com). Se houver título interino, considera-se apenas o campeão indisputado.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Arman Tsarukyan has 32% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 68 points, a wrong one costs about 32.