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Finance · Open for opinions

What will be the Selic rate set by Copom at the next meeting in November 2026?

Copom met on 09/17/2026 to define the benchmark interest rate. 36 opinions, 44% Maintenance (no change)

  • Maintenance (no change) — 44%
  • Cut of up to 0.25 percentage points — 25%
  • Cut of 0.50 percentage points or more — 17%
  • Hike of any magnitude — 14%

Deadline: November 7, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 36 opinions

Resolution rules

Copom met on 09/17/2026 to define the benchmark interest rate. The market is monitoring the monetary policy cycle amidst fiscal pressures and government criticism of the central bank's independence.

Source: www.facebook.com

Frequently asked questions about this event

How is this event resolved?

Resolve com base na decisão oficial publicada pelo Banco Central do Brasil após a reunião do Copom de novembro de 2026 (bcb.gov.br). A opção vencedora é a que corresponder exatamente à variação anunciada em relação à taxa vigente após setembro de 2026.

How are points scored?

Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.

Right now Maintenance (no change) has 44% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 56 points, a wrong one costs about 44.

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