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Finance · Open for opinions

Will Brazil's GDP in the 3rd quarter of 2026 grow by more than 1.0% compared to the previous quarter?

IBGE usually releases quarterly GDP data in November/December. 79 opinions, 54% No

  • Yes — 46%
  • No — 54%

Deadline: December 5, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 79 opinions

Resolution rules

IBGE usually releases quarterly GDP data in November/December. The Q3 2026 result is awaited as a barometer of Brazilian economic activity in the second half of the year.

Source: www.estadao.com.br

Frequently asked questions about this event

How is this event resolved?

Resolve 'Sim' se o IBGE divulgar, nas Contas Nacionais Trimestrais, crescimento do PIB no 3T2026 superior a 1,0% em relação ao 2T2026 (variação trimestral, com ajuste sazonal). Fonte: IBGE (ibge.gov.br).

How are points scored?

Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.

Right now No has 54% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 46 points, a wrong one costs about 54.

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