World · Open for opinions
Will the US annual headline PCE inflation exceed 3.0% in the data for September 2026?
The Fed raised interest rates in September 2026 to curb reignited inflation, attributed partially to the conflict with Iran. 39 opinions, 59% Yes
- Yes — 59%
- No — 41%
Deadline: November 15, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 39 opinions
Resolution rules
The Fed raised interest rates in September 2026 to curb reignited inflation, attributed partially to the conflict with Iran. PCE is the main inflation indicator monitored by the Fed, with an annual target of 2%.
Source: extension.sdstate.edu
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolvido como 'Sim' se o Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA, bea.gov) divulgar o índice PCE headline em variação anual acima de 3,0% para o mês de setembro de 2026. Usar o dado da primeira divulgação oficial.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 59% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 41 points, a wrong one costs about 59.