World · Open for opinions
Will the ECB raise its key rate above 2.5% before the end of 2026?
The ECB raised rates to 2.5%, citing conflict in the Middle East and inflation 'well above' the 2% target. 25 opinions, 52% Yes
- Yes — 52%
- No — 48%
Deadline: December 18, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 25 opinions
Resolution rules
The ECB raised rates to 2.5%, citing conflict in the Middle East and inflation 'well above' the 2% target. Economists are debating whether further hikes will be needed amid persistent global inflation.
Source: www.bbc.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolve com base na decisão oficial de política monetária do Banco Central Europeu divulgada até 31/12/2026. Se a taxa de depósito do BCE for fixada acima de 2,5%, resolve 'Sim'; caso contrário, resolve 'Não'. Fonte: ecb.europa.eu.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 52% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 48 points, a wrong one costs about 52.