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Politics · Open for opinions

Will Raquel Lyra be re-elected governor of Pernambuco in the 1st round by 10/31/2026?

The campaign for the government of Pernambuco is competitive and there are real chances of a mathematical victory in the very first… 34 opinions, 62% No

  • Yes — 38%
  • No — 62%

Deadline: October 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM UTC · 34 opinions

Resolution rules

The campaign for the government of Pernambuco is competitive and there are real chances of a mathematical victory in the very first vote.

Source: www.metropoles.com

Frequently asked questions about this event

How is this event resolved?

Janela de apuração: de 10/09/2026 (00:00, horário de Brasília) até 31/10/2026 (23:59). Fatos, anúncios ou eventos anteriores ao início da janela não contam. Resolve como 'Sim' se Raquel Lyra for declarada matematicamente eleita governadora de Pernambuco pelo TSE ainda no primeiro turno das eleições, com mais de 50% dos votos válidos, até 31/10/2026. A fonte de verificação será o portal do TSE (resultados.tse.jus.br). Caso contrário, resolve como 'Não'.

How are points scored?

Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.

Right now No has 62% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 38 points, a wrong one costs about 62.

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Will Raquel Lyra be re-elected governor of Pernambuco in the 1st… — 62% No · VoxFi