Finance · Open for opinions
Will the combined monthly volume of Kalshi and Polymarket exceed $15 billion by December 2026?
In August/September 2026, Kalshi and Polymarket combined recorded $12 billion in monthly activity, up 400% year-over-year. 36 opinions, 56% No
- Yes — 44%
- No — 56%
Deadline: January 15, 2027 at 12:00 AM UTC · 36 opinions
Resolution rules
In August/September 2026, Kalshi and Polymarket combined recorded $12 billion in monthly activity, up 400% year-over-year. The growth trajectory raises the question of when monthly volume will reach $15 billion.
Source: www.facebook.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolvido como 'Sim' se reportagens de veículos jornalísticos confiáveis (Wired, Bloomberg, Reuters etc.) ou comunicados oficiais das plataformas confirmarem volume mensal agregado superior a US$ 15 bilhões em qualquer mês de outubro, novembro ou dezembro de 2026. Caso contrário, resolve 'Não'.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now No has 56% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 44 points, a wrong one costs about 56.