Technology · Open for opinions
Which platform will lead in trading volume between Kalshi and Polymarket in the third quarter of 2026?
Kalshi and Polymarket are the two leading prediction market platforms in the world. 21 opinions, 33% Kalshi
- Kalshi — 33%
- Polymarket — 33%
- Technical tie (difference less than 5%) — 33%
Deadline: October 31, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 21 opinions
Resolution rules
Kalshi and Polymarket are the two leading prediction market platforms in the world. The sector's explosive growth — from $9 billion in 2024 to over $40 billion in 2025 — has intensified competition between the two platforms for market share.
Source: www.linkedin.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolve com base nos dados de volume de negociações do Q3 2026 (julho-setembro) divulgados por fontes especializadas reconhecidas como Dune Analytics, The Block ou relatórios oficiais das próprias plataformas publicados até 31/10/2026. A plataforma com maior volume total no período será declarada vencedora. Se a diferença for inferior a 5%, resolve como 'Empate técnico'.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Kalshi has 33% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 67 points, a wrong one costs about 33.