Finance · Open for opinions
Will the federal government's gross debt exceed 85% of GDP by December 2026?
Gross debt reached 82.5% of GDP, the highest level in 5 years. 20 opinions, 50% Yes
- Yes — 50%
- No — 50%
Deadline: February 28, 2027 at 12:00 AM UTC · 20 opinions
Resolution rules
Gross debt reached 82.5% of GDP, the highest level in 5 years. Economists warn of an upward trajectory given high interest rates and without consistent fiscal adjustment.
Source: tvsimbrasil.com.br
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolução com base na Nota de Imprensa do Setor Público divulgada pelo Banco Central do Brasil referente ao mês de dezembro de 2026. Considera-se 'Sim' se a Dívida Bruta do Governo Geral (DBGG) superar 85% do PIB.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 50% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 50 points, a wrong one costs about 50.