Finance · Open for opinions
Will the New York investigation into Kalshi and Polymarket result in formal enforcement action (fine, charge, or cease-and-desist order) by December 31, 2026?
In July 2026, the city of New York opened an investigation into Kalshi and Polymarket at the same time both platforms were recording… 20 opinions, 50% Yes
- Yes — 50%
- No — 50%
Deadline: December 31, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 20 opinions
Resolution rules
In July 2026, the city of New York opened an investigation into Kalshi and Polymarket at the same time both platforms were recording record volume. A judge in Washington has already ordered Kalshi to suspend most bets in the state, increasing national regulatory pressure on the sector.
Source: www.investing.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolve como 'Sim' se autoridades de Nova York (Procuradoria Geral do Estado, Departamento de Serviços Financeiros ou outra agência estadual competente) publicarem formalmente multas, acusações ou ordens de cessar e desistir contra Kalshi ou Polymarket até 31 de dezembro de 2026, conforme registros públicos oficiais. Resolve como 'Não' caso contrário.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 50% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 50 points, a wrong one costs about 50.