Finance · Open for opinions
Will Brazil's Social Security deficit exceed R$ 260 billion in 2026?
STF Minister Luiz Fux stated that the Public Pension system faces a deficit of R$ 258 billion in 2026, raising alerts about the… 20 opinions, 50% Yes
- Yes — 50%
- No — 50%
Deadline: February 7, 2027 at 12:00 AM UTC · 20 opinions
Resolution rules
STF Minister Luiz Fux stated that the Public Pension system faces a deficit of R$ 258 billion in 2026, raising alerts about the sustainability of the pension system. The government, when sending the 2027 Budget to Congress, reduced the forecast of mandatory pension expenses by R$ 5 billion.
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Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolução com base no Boletim de Resultado da Previdência Social publicado pelo Ministério da Previdência Social ou na Nota de Acompanhamento dos Gastos Públicos do Tesouro Nacional com dados consolidados do exercício de 2026. Ministro Fux estimou déficit de R$ 258 bilhões para o ano corrente.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 50% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 50 points, a wrong one costs about 50.