Finance · Open for opinions
Will Kalshi surpass Polymarket in weekly volume during any week in October 2026?
According to snippet [1], both Polymarket and Kalshi had record weeks, with Polymarket reaching $4.1 billion monthly. 42 opinions, 83% No
- Yes — 17%
- No — 83%
Deadline: October 31, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 42 opinions
Resolution rules
According to snippet [1], both Polymarket and Kalshi had record weeks, with Polymarket reaching $4.1 billion monthly. The intensifying competition between the two largest regulated prediction market platforms in the US raises the question of a potential leadership flip.
Source: www.facebook.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolve 'Sim' se dados públicos reportados por veículo de mídia especializado (ex.: The Block, DeFi Rate, CoinDesk) confirmarem que o Kalshi registrou volume semanal superior ao do Polymarket em pelo menos uma semana do mês de outubro de 2026. Caso contrário, resolve 'Não'.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now No has 83% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 17 points, a wrong one costs about 83.