Finance · Open for opinions
Will federal expenditures subject to the fiscal framework end 2026 with real growth above 2.5%?
A survey by Estadão shows that almost 70% of federal expenditures subject to the fiscal framework grow above the maximum ceiling of… 20 opinions, 50% Yes
- Yes — 50%
- No — 50%
Deadline: February 28, 2027 at 12:00 AM UTC · 20 opinions
Resolution rules
A survey by Estadão shows that almost 70% of federal expenditures subject to the fiscal framework grow above the maximum ceiling of 2.5% beyond inflation in 2026, signaling non-compliance with the current fiscal rule.
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Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolve como 'Sim' se o Tesouro Nacional ou a SOF publicarem relatório oficial de execução orçamentária de 2026 indicando que as despesas sujeitas ao arcabouço fiscal cresceram mais de 2,5% acima do IPCA acumulado no ano. Fonte: Tesouro Nacional (tesourotransparente.tesouro.gov.br).
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 50% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 50 points, a wrong one costs about 50.