World · Open for opinions
Will there be an official suspension of commercial traffic in the Strait of Hormuz by 11/30/2026?
Considers regulatory and maritime security measures on the Hormuz route between 10/16 and 11/30. 81 opinions, 70% No
- Yes — 30%
- No — 70%
Deadline: November 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM UTC · 81 opinions
Resolution rules
Considers regulatory and maritime security measures on the Hormuz route between 10/16 and 11/30.
Source: www.reuters.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Janela de apuração: de 16/10/2026 (00:00, horário de Brasília) até 30/11/2026 (23:59). Fatos anteriores não contam. Resolve como 'Sim' se a Organização Marítima Internacional (OMI) ou autoridades marítimas locais declararem oficialmente a suspensão total do tráfego de navios comerciais no Estreito de Ormuz até 30/11/2026, conforme comunicado oficial da OMI ou reporte da Reuters. Caso contrário, resolve como 'Não'.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now No has 70% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 30 points, a wrong one costs about 70.