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Will the US Supreme Court agree to hear the case regarding Kalshi's prediction contracts by November 30, 2026?

Kalshi appealed to the US Supreme Court following conflicting court rulings on federal regulation versus state prediction laws [1]. 76 opinions, 64% No

  • Yes — 36%
  • No — 64%

Deadline: November 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM UTC · 76 opinions

Resolution rules

Kalshi appealed to the US Supreme Court following conflicting court rulings on federal regulation versus state prediction laws [1].

Source: www.ccn.com

Frequently asked questions about this event

How is this event resolved?

Janela de apuração: de 03/10/2026 (00:00, horário de Brasília) até 30/11/2026 (23:59). Fatos, anúncios ou eventos anteriores ao início da janela não contam. Resolve como 'Sim' se a Suprema Corte dos EUA emitir ordem formal concedendo certiorari no recurso da Kalshi sobre contratos de enquetes até 30/11/2026, conforme docket oficial em supremecourt.gov ou reportado por Reuters/AP. Caso contrário, resolve como 'Não'.

How are points scored?

Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.

Right now No has 64% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 36 points, a wrong one costs about 64.

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Will the US Supreme Court agree to hear the case regarding Kalshi's… — 64% No · VoxFi