Technology · Open for opinions
Will China publicly release a new open-source AI model larger (in parameter count) than the current record by December 31, 2026?
In July 2026, China launched the world's largest open-source AI model, intensifying the technological dispute with the West. 20 opinions, 50% Yes
- Yes — 50%
- No — 50%
Deadline: December 31, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 20 opinions
Resolution rules
In July 2026, China launched the world's largest open-source AI model, intensifying the technological dispute with the West. The race for ever larger and more capable models continues to accelerate between Chinese and Western labs.
Source: olhardigital.com.br
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolve como 'Sim' se uma organização chinesa anunciar e disponibilizar para download um modelo de IA de código aberto com número de parâmetros superior ao do modelo chinês lançado em julho de 2026 (atual recorde de maior modelo aberto do mundo), conforme publicação oficial da organização desenvolvedora ou registro no Hugging Face até 31/12/2026.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 50% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 50 points, a wrong one costs about 50.