Finance · Open for opinions
Will prediction markets like Kalshi and Polymarket be able to operate legally in the state of Nevada by March 2027?
As reported on 04/09/2026, Nevada gaming regulators achieved another court victory to keep prediction markets out of the state, in a… 20 opinions, 50% Yes
- Yes — 50%
- No — 50%
Deadline: March 1, 2027 at 12:00 AM UTC · 20 opinions
Resolution rules
As reported on 04/09/2026, Nevada gaming regulators achieved another court victory to keep prediction markets out of the state, in a direct dispute with platforms that argue they are under federal jurisdiction (CFTC), not state jurisdiction.
Source: www.facebook.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolve como 'Sim' se decisão judicial ou regulatória vigente em Nevada autorizar formalmente a operação de plataformas de mercados de previsão (Kalshi, Polymarket ou similares) no estado até 01/03/2027, conforme comunicado oficial da Nevada Gaming Control Board ou decisão judicial publicada. Resolve como 'Não' caso as restrições estaduais se mantenham.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 50% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 50 points, a wrong one costs about 50.