Finance · Open for opinions
Will Kalshi's annual trading volume exceed US$300 billion in 2026?
According to The Atlantic (September 2026), Kalshi has already accumulated more than US$200 billion in trading volume in 2026, while… 20 opinions, 50% Yes
- Yes — 50%
- No — 50%
Deadline: January 31, 2027 at 12:00 AM UTC · 20 opinions
Resolution rules
According to The Atlantic (September 2026), Kalshi has already accumulated more than US$200 billion in trading volume in 2026, while Polymarket surpassed US$100 billion in the same period, signaling accelerated growth in the sector.
Source: www.theatlantic.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolve como 'Sim' se a Kalshi divulgar, ou fonte jornalística confiável (Bloomberg, WSJ, Reuters) reportar, que o volume total de negociações da plataforma em 2026 superou US$ 300 bilhões. Caso contrário, resolve como 'Não'. Avaliação feita até 2027-01-31.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 50% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 50 points, a wrong one costs about 50.