Finance · Open for opinions
Will the CFTC publish new official regulatory guidance for prediction markets by November 30, 2026?
A Coalition for Prediction Markets has stepped up pressure to secure exclusive unified regulation under the CFTC [0]. 76 opinions, 55% No
- Yes — 45%
- No — 55%
Deadline: November 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM UTC · 76 opinions
Resolution rules
A Coalition for Prediction Markets has stepped up pressure to secure exclusive unified regulation under the CFTC [0].
Source: truthout.org
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Janela de apuração: de 03/10/2026 (00:00, horário de Brasília) até 30/11/2026 (23:59). Fatos, anúncios ou eventos anteriores ao início da janela não contam. Resolve como 'Sim' se a Commodity Futures participação Commission (CFTC) publicar no Federal Register ou em cftc.gov nova ordem, regra final ou diretriz formal sobre prediction markets até 30/11/2026. Caso contrário, resolve como 'Não'.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now No has 55% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 45 points, a wrong one costs about 55.