Finance · Open for opinions
Will the FCA or ESMA grant derivatives authorization to Polymarket by November 30, 2026?
Measures the progress of dialogue between the prediction platform and European securities regulators between 10/04 and 11/30. 76 opinions, 75% No
- Yes — 25%
- No — 75%
Deadline: November 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM UTC · 76 opinions
Resolution rules
Measures the progress of dialogue between the prediction platform and European securities regulators between 10/04 and 11/30.
Source: www.advisorperspectives.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Janela de apuração: de 04/10/2026 (00:00, horário de Brasília) até 30/11/2026 (23:59). Fatos, anúncios ou eventos anteriores ao início da janela não contam. Resolve como 'Sim' se a Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) do Reino Unido ou a ESMA da União Europeia aprovar e registrar publicamente licença regulatória para a Polymarket operar como mercado de derivativos até 30/11/2026, conforme bases oficiais dos órgãos. Caso contrário, resolve como 'Não'.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now No has 75% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 25 points, a wrong one costs about 75.