Politics · Open for opinions
Will the total volume of bets on the midterms exceed $1.6 billion on Kalshi and Polymarket by November 30, 2026?
Consider the total accumulated financial movement in electoral contracts from 10/17 to 11/30. 81 opinions, 65% Yes
- Yes — 65%
- No — 35%
Deadline: November 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM UTC · 81 opinions
Resolution rules
Consider the total accumulated financial movement in electoral contracts from 10/17 to 11/30.
Source: vertexaisearch.cloud.google.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Janela de apuração: de 17/10/2026 (00:00, horário de Brasília) até 30/11/2026 (23:59). Fatos, anúncios ou eventos anteriores ao início da janela não contam. Resolve como 'Sim' se o volume acumulado transacionado nas eleições de meio de mandato de 2026 na Kalshi e Polymarket combinadas atingir ou ultrapassar US$ 1,6 bilhão até 30/11/2026, conforme dados das plataformas ou relatório da ACDC reportado pela CNN. Caso contrário, resolve como 'Não'.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 65% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 35 points, a wrong one costs about 65.