Technology · Open for opinions
By March 2027, which company will release the next major AI model that will top the leading public benchmarks (MMLU or equivalent)?
The race for advanced AI models continues to accelerate, with multiple companies competing for performance leadership. 22 opinions, 23% OpenAI
- OpenAI — 23%
- Google DeepMind — 23%
- Meta — 18%
- Anthropic — 18%
- Other — 18%
Deadline: March 9, 2027 at 12:00 AM UTC · 22 opinions
Resolution rules
The race for advanced AI models continues to accelerate, with multiple companies competing for performance leadership. Meta recently launched Muse and continues investing in generative AI.
Source: www.instagram.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolução baseada nos rankings públicos de benchmark MMLU ou LMSYS Chatbot Arena (lmsys.org) disponíveis em 09/03/2027, considerando o modelo no topo da classificação geral na data de fechamento.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now OpenAI has 23% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 77 points, a wrong one costs about 23.