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What will be the FOMC's decision on interest rates at the November 2026 meeting?

Persistent inflation in the US has led the Fed to signal caution on further rate cuts. 20 opinions, 25% Cut 0.25 percentage points

  • Cut 0.25 percentage points — 25%
  • Cut 0.50 percentage points or more — 25%
  • Hold unchanged — 25%
  • Raise rates — 25%

Deadline: November 30, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 20 opinions

Resolution rules

Persistent inflation in the US has led the Fed to signal caution on further rate cuts. Political pressure from Trump for lower rates increases tension over the committee's upcoming decisions.

Source: www.usnews.com

Frequently asked questions about this event

How is this event resolved?

Resolução com base no comunicado oficial do FOMC publicado após a reunião de novembro de 2026, disponível em federalreserve.gov. A opção correspondente à decisão anunciada resolve como vencedora.

How are points scored?

Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.

Right now Cut 0.25 percentage points has 25% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 75 points, a wrong one costs about 25.

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