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Finance · Open for opinions

Will the Lula government submit a formal fiscal adjustment proposal to Congress by December 31, 2026?

Economists, CEOs, and industry leaders are demanding fiscal adjustment and predictability at the start of Lula's fourth term,… 87 opinions, 51% Yes

  • Yes — 51%
  • No — 49%

Deadline: December 31, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 87 opinions

Resolution rules

Economists, CEOs, and industry leaders are demanding fiscal adjustment and predictability at the start of Lula's fourth term, warning about the budgetary impacts of campaign promises in 2027.

Source: www1.folha.uol.com.br

Frequently asked questions about this event

How is this event resolved?

Resolve 'Sim' se o Poder Executivo federal encaminhar ao Congresso Nacional, até 31/12/2026, qualquer proposta formal de corte de gastos, contingenciamento orçamentário ou pacote de ajuste fiscal com impacto orçamentário relevante (acima de R$ 10 bilhões), conforme informado por nota oficial do Ministério da Fazenda ou publicação no Diário Oficial da União. Resolve 'Não' caso contrário.

How are points scored?

Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.

Right now Yes has 51% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 49 points, a wrong one costs about 51.

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Will the Lula government submit a formal fiscal adjustment proposal… — 51% Yes · VoxFi