Politics · Open for opinions
Will the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz be more than 6 from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026?
If the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 6 from Oct… 80 opinions, 57% No
- Yes — 43%
- No — 57%
Deadline: October 27, 2026 at 02:00 PM UTC · 80 opinions
Resolution rules
If the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 6 from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Source: kalshi.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
A verifiable fact decides the outcome, such as a final score, a price or an official announcement. Once it happens, the event is marked as resolved and the correct option is shown on this page.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now No has 57% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 43 points, a wrong one costs about 57.