Politics · Open for opinions
Will Democrats regain control of the US House of Representatives in the November 2026 midterm elections?
By August 2026, at least $133 million had been wagered on 7,466 prediction markets about congressional elections on Polymarket,… 23 opinions, 52% Yes
- Yes — 52%
- No — 48%
Deadline: November 10, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 23 opinions
Resolution rules
By August 2026, at least $133 million had been wagered on 7,466 prediction markets about congressional elections on Polymarket, indicating very high public interest. The concentration of bets in a few wallets raises debate about the representativeness of the market signal.
Source: cryptorank.io
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolve Sim se o Partido Democrata obtiver maioria de assentos na Câmara dos Representantes dos EUA nas eleições de novembro de 2026, conforme certificado pelas autoridades eleitorais e amplamente reportado por agências como AP, Reuters ou NYT. Resolve Não caso contrário.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 52% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 48 points, a wrong one costs about 52.