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Will Kalshi win the lawsuit filed by the state of New York by the end of 2026?

New York has filed a lawsuit against Kalshi, alleging that its prediction market platform constitutes illegal unlicensed gambling,… 20 opinions, 50% Yes

  • Yes — 50%
  • No — 50%

Deadline: December 31, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 20 opinions

Resolution rules

New York has filed a lawsuit against Kalshi, alleging that its prediction market platform constitutes illegal unlicensed gambling, as outcomes depend more on chance than skill.

Source: www.facebook.com

Frequently asked questions about this event

How is this event resolved?

Resolve 'Sim' se um tribunal de Nova York emitir decisão favorável à Kalshi (processo arquivado, julgado improcedente ou suspenso em favor da plataforma) até 31/12/2026. Fonte: registros judiciais públicos do estado de Nova York ou comunicado oficial das partes.

How are points scored?

Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.

Right now Yes has 50% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 50 points, a wrong one costs about 50.

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Will Kalshi win the lawsuit filed by the state of New York by the… — 50% Yes · VoxFi