World · Open for opinions
Will the Federal Reserve cut the US benchmark interest rate at the December 2026 meeting?
Fed Chair Kevin Warsh signaled that price stability is a priority, but avoided committing to future interest rate moves. 81 opinions, 70% No
- Yes — 30%
- No — 70%
Deadline: December 20, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 81 opinions
Resolution rules
Fed Chair Kevin Warsh signaled that price stability is a priority, but avoided committing to future interest rate moves. Persistent inflation and resilient consumer spending complicate the December decision.
Source: www.pbs.org
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolução baseada na decisão oficial do Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) divulgada após a reunião de dezembro de 2026. Mercado resolve 'Sim' se houver redução da taxa dos fed funds em relação ao nível vigente em outubro de 2026; resolve 'Não' em caso de manutenção ou aumento.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now No has 70% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 30 points, a wrong one costs about 70.