Finance · Open for opinions
Will the Federal Reserve raise the interest rate by 25 basis points at the October 2026 meeting?
Polymarket data indicates a 65% probability of a 25 bps rate hike at the Fed meeting in October 2026, with a volume of $15 million… 71 opinions, 65% Yes
- Yes — 65%
- No — 35%
Deadline: November 1, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 71 opinions
Resolution rules
Polymarket data indicates a 65% probability of a 25 bps rate hike at the Fed meeting in October 2026, with a volume of $15 million traded in the market.
Source: polymarket.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolve como 'Sim' se o Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) anunciar aumento de 25 bps na decisão de política monetária de outubro de 2026. Fonte oficial: comunicado do Federal Reserve em federalreserve.gov imediatamente após a reunião.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 65% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 35 points, a wrong one costs about 65.