Finance · Open for opinions
Will the combined trading volume of Kalshi and Polymarket exceed $50 billion in 2026?
Kalshi and Polymarket generated more than $40 billion in combined volume in 2025, up from $9 billion in 2024. 20 opinions, 50% Yes
- Yes — 50%
- No — 50%
Deadline: January 31, 2027 at 12:00 AM UTC · 20 opinions
Resolution rules
Kalshi and Polymarket generated more than $40 billion in combined volume in 2025, up from $9 billion in 2024. The prediction market industry is targeting a potential market of $1 trillion, attracting attention from Wall Street and new entrants like DraftKings.
Source: markets.businessinsider.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolúvel com base em relatórios oficiais ou declarações públicas divulgadas pela Kalshi e Polymarket sobre o volume total de negociações acumulado em 2026. Em 2025, o volume combinado das duas plataformas foi de aproximadamente US$ 40 bilhões, conforme reportado pelo Business Insider.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 50% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 50 points, a wrong one costs about 50.