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Will the National Congress set up a CPI or special committee to investigate the 'Lulinha case' by December 2026?

Bolsonarists are appealing to Congress to amplify the 'Lulinha case' as a tool to wear down President Lula in the 2026 electoral… 20 opinions, 50% Yes

  • Yes — 50%
  • No — 50%

Deadline: December 15, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 20 opinions

Resolution rules

Bolsonarists are appealing to Congress to amplify the 'Lulinha case' as a tool to wear down President Lula in the 2026 electoral context. The PGR indicated that there is no privileged forum that justifies the case remaining in the STF.

Source: www.cartacapital.com.br

Frequently asked questions about this event

How is this event resolved?

Mercado resolve como 'Sim' se Câmara dos Deputados ou Senado Federal aprovar formalmente requerimento de CPI ou comissão especial relacionada ao caso Lulinha, verificável no portal oficial do Congresso Nacional (camara.leg.br ou senado.leg.br). Resolve como 'Não' caso contrário até 15/12/2026.

How are points scored?

Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.

Right now Yes has 50% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 50 points, a wrong one costs about 50.

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Will the National Congress set up a CPI or special committee to… — 50% Yes · VoxFi