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Politics · Open for opinions

What will be the outcome of the betting dispute in Brazil by the end of 2026?

The betting sector faces a ban via an MP (Provisional Measure) from the Lula… 82 opinions, 29% Ban maintained — MP in force or converted into law

  • Ban maintained — MP in force or converted into law — 29%
  • Ban suspended by the STF via injunction — 20%
  • Ban overturned by Congress — 29%
  • Agreement/regulation negotiated between government and sector — 22%

Deadline: December 31, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 82 opinions

Resolution rules

The betting sector faces a ban via an MP (Provisional Measure) from the Lula government, challenges the measure in the STF (Supreme Federal Court), and counts on resistance from Congress. AGU (Attorney General's Office) requested time to respond before any judicial decision.

Source: www.instagram.com

Frequently asked questions about this event

How is this event resolved?

Resolve com base no status legal das bets no Brasil em 31 de dezembro de 2026, conforme publicações no Diário Oficial da União, decisões publicadas no site do STF (stf.jus.br) e votações registradas no site da Câmara dos Deputados ou Senado Federal.

How are points scored?

Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.

Right now Ban maintained — MP in force or converted into law has 29% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 71 points, a wrong one costs about 29.

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