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Will the conflict between the US and Iran result in any formal ceasefire agreement or peace negotiation by December 31, 2026?

The ongoing conflict between the US and Iran has kept oil and gasoline prices elevated, fueling inflationary anxiety in the US and… 20 opinions, 50% Yes

  • Yes — 50%
  • No — 50%

Deadline: December 31, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 20 opinions

Resolution rules

The ongoing conflict between the US and Iran has kept oil and gasoline prices elevated, fueling inflationary anxiety in the US and weighing on the approval ratings of President Trump and the Republicans.

Source: www.investing.com

Frequently asked questions about this event

How is this event resolved?

Resolve como 'Sim' se os governos dos EUA e do Irã, ou mediadores reconhecidos internacionalmente (ONU, etc.), anunciarem oficialmente acordo de cessar-fogo ou início de negociações formais de paz com data confirmada, até 31/12/2026, verificável por comunicado de fonte oficial (whitehouse.gov, un.org ou mídia de referência global como Reuters/AP). Caso contrário, resolve como 'Não'.

How are points scored?

Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.

Right now Yes has 50% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 50 points, a wrong one costs about 50.

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