Finance · Open for opinions
Will the Selic projection for the end of 2026 reach 13.50% in the Focus Bulletin by 10/31/2026?
Considers Focus Bulletin reports between 10/13 and 10/31 following an upward revision in inflation projections. 79 opinions, 65% No
- Yes — 35%
- No — 65%
Deadline: October 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM UTC · 79 opinions
Resolution rules
Considers Focus Bulletin reports between 10/13 and 10/31 following an upward revision in inflation projections.
Source: www.infomoney.com.br
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Janela de apuração: de 13/10/2026 (00:00, horário de Brasília) até 31/10/2026 (23:59). Fatos, anúncios ou eventos anteriores ao início da janela não contam. Resolve como 'Sim' se a mediana das expectativas de mercado para a taxa Selic ao final de 2026 for igual ou superior a 13,50% em qualquer edição do relatório Boletim Focus divulgada até 31/10/2026, conforme publicação oficial do Banco Central do Brasil. Caso contrário, resolve como 'Não'.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now No has 65% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 35 points, a wrong one costs about 65.