Finance · Open for opinions
Will Kalshi appeal to the US Supreme Court challenging the right of states to regulate prediction markets?
On September 25, 2026, a US appeals court ruled that states can regulate prediction markets, going against Kalshi. 70 opinions, 60% Yes
- Yes — 60%
- No — 40%
Deadline: March 15, 2027 at 12:00 AM UTC · 70 opinions
Resolution rules
On September 25, 2026, a US appeals court ruled that states can regulate prediction markets, going against Kalshi. Twenty states are already in active litigation on the issue, and some have already passed laws making platforms like Kalshi and Polymarket illegal.
Source: www.aljazeera.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolvido com base em registros públicos do Supremo Tribunal dos EUA (supremecourt.gov) confirmando a entrada de petição de certiorari pela Kalshi até 15 de março de 2027. Ausência de registro nessa data resolve 'Não'.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 60% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 40 points, a wrong one costs about 60.