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Will the Federal Reserve raise interest rates at the next FOMC meeting following the signals from Kevin Warsh at Jackson Hole?

Fed Chairman Kevin Warsh signaled in Jackson Hole (08/28/2026) that the central bank may need to raise interest rates in the coming… 20 opinions, 50% Yes

  • Yes — 50%
  • No — 50%

Deadline: November 15, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 20 opinions

Resolution rules

Fed Chairman Kevin Warsh signaled in Jackson Hole (08/28/2026) that the central bank may need to raise interest rates in the coming months to combat inflation, which reached 4.2% in May — the highest level in three years.

Source: apnews.com

Frequently asked questions about this event

How is this event resolved?

Resolve como 'Sim' se o Federal Reserve anunciar aumento na taxa dos Fed Funds na próxima reunião do FOMC após 2026-08-30, conforme comunicado oficial publicado no site do Federal Reserve (federalreserve.gov). Resolve como 'Não' caso contrário.

How are points scored?

Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.

Right now Yes has 50% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 50 points, a wrong one costs about 50.

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Will the Federal Reserve raise interest rates at the next FOMC… — 50% Yes · VoxFi