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Will US inflation remain above the Fed's 2% target through December 2026?

September 2026 snippets indicate that cost-of-living increases persist beyond what the Trump administration expected, with inflation… 20 opinions, 50% Yes

  • Yes — 50%
  • No — 50%

Deadline: December 31, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 20 opinions

Resolution rules

September 2026 snippets indicate that cost-of-living increases persist beyond what the Trump administration expected, with inflation significantly above the Fed's target according to analysts.

Source: www.facebook.com

Frequently asked questions about this event

How is this event resolved?

Resolve como 'Sim' se o índice PCE (Personal Consumption Expenditures), medida preferida do Fed, registrar variação anual superior a 2,0% no dado referente a novembro de 2026, divulgado pelo Bureau of Economic Analysis (bea.gov). Resolve como 'Não' se o índice for igual ou inferior a 2,0%.

How are points scored?

Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.

Right now Yes has 50% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 50 points, a wrong one costs about 50.

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Will US inflation remain above the Fed's 2% target through December… — 50% Yes · VoxFi