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Will the U.S. national debt exceed $41 trillion before December 31, 2026?

The American national debt hit a record $40 trillion in August 2026, amid Federal Reserve concerns about persistent inflation and… 20 opinions, 50% Yes

  • Yes — 50%
  • No — 50%

Deadline: December 31, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 20 opinions

Resolution rules

The American national debt hit a record $40 trillion in August 2026, amid Federal Reserve concerns about persistent inflation and escalating spending linked to the economic war against Iran, according to the Financial Times.

Source: www.ft.com

Frequently asked questions about this event

How is this event resolved?

Resolve como 'Sim' se o painel oficial do Tesouro dos Estados Unidos (fiscaldata.treasury.gov) registrar dívida total igual ou superior a US$ 41 trilhões em qualquer dia antes de 31/12/2026. Caso contrário, resolve 'Não'.

How are points scored?

Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.

Right now Yes has 50% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 50 points, a wrong one costs about 50.

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Will the U.S. national debt exceed $41 trillion before December 31,… — 50% Yes · VoxFi