Technology · Open for opinions
Will the US government announce new sanctions against Chinese AI companies by 10/31/2026?
Consider announcements between 09/10 and 10/31 about potential US government sanctions, prompted by recent reports of copying… 23 opinions, 57% No
- Yes — 43%
- No — 57%
Deadline: October 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM UTC · 23 opinions
Resolution rules
Consider announcements between 09/10 and 10/31 about potential US government sanctions, prompted by recent reports of copying American models.
Source: arstechnica.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Janela de apuração: de 10/09/2026 (00:00, horário de Brasília) até 31/10/2026 (23:59). Fatos, anúncios ou eventos anteriores ao início da janela não contam. Resolve como 'Sim' se o governo dos EUA anunciar formalmente novas sanções ou restrições de acesso a modelos de IA voltadas a empresas na China. A confirmação deve vir por comunicados do Departamento de Comércio dos EUA ou reportagens de Reuters ou Bloomberg. Recomendações informais não contam. Caso contrário, resolve como 'Não'.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now No has 57% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 43 points, a wrong one costs about 57.