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Finance · Open for opinions

Will the federal government announce a formal fiscal adjustment package by December 31, 2026?

Economist Arminio Fraga stated on 09/24/2026 that Brazil 'has a 42-degree fever' and needs fiscal adjustment, signaling growing… 67 opinions, 55% No

  • Yes — 45%
  • No — 55%

Deadline: December 31, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 67 opinions

Resolution rules

Economist Arminio Fraga stated on 09/24/2026 that Brazil 'has a 42-degree fever' and needs fiscal adjustment, signaling growing market pressure for concrete measures.

Source: c-level.folha.uol.com.br

Frequently asked questions about this event

How is this event resolved?

Resolvido como 'Sim' se o Ministério da Fazenda ou a Presidência da República publicar oficialmente um pacote de medidas de ajuste fiscal (corte de gastos, contenção orçamentária ou reforma estrutural) no Diário Oficial da União entre 2026-09-26 e 2026-12-31. Fonte: DOU e Ministério da Fazenda (fazenda.gov.br).

How are points scored?

Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.

Right now No has 55% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 45 points, a wrong one costs about 55.

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