Technology · Open for opinions
Which prediction market platform will have the highest trading volume in Q4 2026?
Kalshi has operated as a CFTC-regulated DCM since 2020; Polymarket returned to the US market in 2026. 21 opinions, 33% Kalshi
- Kalshi — 33%
- Polymarket — 33%
- Other platform — 33%
Deadline: January 31, 2027 at 12:00 AM UTC · 21 opinions
Resolution rules
Kalshi has operated as a CFTC-regulated DCM since 2020; Polymarket returned to the US market in 2026. The two are competing for leadership in a sector that reached ~US$ 50 billion in volume.
Source: www.al.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolve com base em dados públicos de volume (Q4 2026: outubro–dezembro) divulgados pelas plataformas ou consolidados por veículos financeiros reconhecidos (Bloomberg, CoinGecko para Polymarket, relatórios da CFTC para Kalshi). Vence a opção com maior volume declarado no período.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Kalshi has 33% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 67 points, a wrong one costs about 33.