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Technology · Open for opinions

Which prediction market platform will have the highest average weekly volume in October 2026: Kalshi or Polymarket?

In August 2026, Polymarket recorded a 56% drop in weekly volume from its June peak, while Kalshi fell 25% over the same period,… 21 opinions, 33% Kalshi

  • Kalshi — 33%
  • Polymarket — 33%
  • Tie (difference less than 5%) — 33%

Deadline: November 7, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 21 opinions

Resolution rules

In August 2026, Polymarket recorded a 56% drop in weekly volume from its June peak, while Kalshi fell 25% over the same period, narrowing the gap between the two largest prediction market platforms.

Source: cryptorank.io

Frequently asked questions about this event

How is this event resolved?

Resolve com base na média de volume semanal de cada plataforma durante as semanas completas de outubro de 2026 (semanas iniciadas e encerradas dentro do mês), conforme dados públicos do Dune Analytics ou relatório Bloomberg citado pelas próprias plataformas. A plataforma com maior média vence; se a diferença for inferior a 5%, resolve 'Empate'.

How are points scored?

Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.

Right now Kalshi has 33% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 67 points, a wrong one costs about 33.

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