Technology · Open for opinions
Which company will have the number one AI model in the LMSYS Chatbot Arena ranking by the end of 2026?
Polymarket and DeFi Rate track in real time the odds of which company will have the best AI model in the Arena ranking at the end… 70 opinions, 20% OpenAI
- OpenAI — 20%
- Google/DeepMind — 20%
- Anthropic — 20%
- Meta — 20%
- Other company — 20%
Deadline: December 31, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 70 opinions
Resolution rules
Polymarket and DeFi Rate track in real time the odds of which company will have the best AI model in the Arena ranking at the end of 2026, with a fierce competition among industry leaders.
Source: defirate.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolvido conforme a posição #1 no LMSYS Chatbot Arena leaderboard (lmarena.ai) na data de 31 de dezembro de 2026, às 23h59 (horário de Brasília). Fonte oficial: lmarena.ai.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now OpenAI has 20% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 80 points, a wrong one costs about 20.